I wouldn't put Wise in the same under achieving athlete category you put Griffin and Moss in. Wise isn't really an outstanding athlete he just has freakishly long arms and power. Wise had a down year his senior season, but he was dealing with a hand injury he suffered in the season opener. Healthy In 2015 he had much more production 8 sacks, 12 QB hits, and 21 hurries mainly against SEC competition. He showed what he could do when healthy during the shrine game with 8 tackles 1.5 sacks and 4-8 hurries (depending on where you get your stats)
I don't think Moss underachieved. He had 4.5 sacks playing early as rotational guy at Nebraska and had 17.5 TFL and 10.5 sacks last year. He has been a productive player even though he hasn't fully harnessed his tools. IMO in the 6th round there isn't a huge downside in taking a toolsy guy, but I guess this is where our philosophies differ. IMO If a 6th rounder with tools reaches his potential awesome, if he is just a solid rotational guy that's a great result as well, if he doesn't do alot that doesn't hurt much. IMO Moss has the tools to at least be a solid rotational guy.
Wise and Moss both only started one year. Wise had a major down year compared to expectations. Moss had a nice year, but his game shows a lot of holes.
Both are toolsy guys who are better athletes than football players at this point.
I like Moss. I'd take Moss. My issue is that we spend much of Day 3 taking toolsy guys. Well, truly, the entire draft was spent on toolsy guys. But Engram and Hollins are both good football players (although, a bit raw).
I actually considered Howard Wilson with the pick, like him as well. I like Wilson, but he plays so much bail technique hard to evaluate how successful he would be in a press man scheme. His lack of play strength also stands out on tape making him a questionable fit in a press man scheme. Ultimately I went with Grffin because he plays with more play strength and is a better fit in a press man scheme. This draft is very talented at the CB position, but in the 4th round IMO Griffin will be one of the better ones available. Not sure Lewis will be there in the 4th or what McVay's approach will be with guys with serious character issues like him.
Griffin plays in a defense that is very similar to Wilson's. There's plenty of tape of Wilson playing press man coverage. There's also plenty of tape of him in off man or off zone coverage. Same is true of Griffin.
Play strength doesn't make or break a CB in press coverage. Press coverage is more about technique than strength. Jason Verrett was one of the most disruptive press CBs as a prospect I've seen over the past 5 or so years despite being 5'10" 175. It's because Verrett's technique was insanely good. Press coverage is all about your ability to land punches, mirror the WR, and then turn and run. It's nice to have more pop behind the punch, but it's not a necessity.
Griffin's play strength is completely negated because he has poor technique. His punches don't land too often, and he puts himself in poor position because of his bad footwork.
By the time Griffin masters press technique, Howard Wilson will have added weight and play strength. I'd rather take my chances on a guy like Wilson who shows much better instincts, football ability, and ball-skills on tape. Plus, Wilson is a stellar athlete. Wilson's technique isn't perfect. He needs to work on his punch and hand placement, but his footwork and strategic approach are miles ahead of Griffin (plus Wilson's agility, acceleration, and hip fluidity are as good as anyone's in the class). Wilson understands that great press CBs have a patient approach. Griffin hasn't gotten there yet.
That's one of the biggest things I look for in potential press CBs. Do they understand the mechanics behind pressing?
Brian Quick and Donnie Avery were 2nd round picks with higher expectations. For the most part in round 4-7 you aren't looking at instant starters, if you get one great. You tend to give Day 3 guys a longer leash in terms of development and use them situationally playing to their strengths as they develop into more complete starters.Our philosophies differ I would rather give coaches upside and traits that create successful players at that position especially on Day 2, but I am fine disagreeing there.
My point is that this CB class will give us a shot at guys who are great football players. I'd rather not pass on one for a great athlete who isn't that good at football at this point.
In the 5th round, I'd be more amenable to Griffin. At the top of the 4th, I think we have better options.