...I also don't think the Rams are a SB WITH Stafford next season, and I believe the weather was the main reason they were able to make that Eagles game so close. The Eagles are just a far better team IMO.
My initials thoughts immediately after our playoff loss to the Eagles was that this team is close to being a SB contender and they just needed a few more pieces. I'm wondering now if the Rams agree with you that they are not super close to being a strong SB contender, even with Stafford.
The offense was subpar last year and it's trending down given that several of the critical pieces are aging. Let's consider each position.
QB - Stafford isn't getting better. If anything there is risk he could get worse since he's 37.
WR - They're losing Kupp so right of the bat, this room is worse than last year.
RB - The same.
TE - Higbee is the critical component and at 32, he's trending down. No one else in this room warrants excitement.
OL - Assuming they bring Alaric back, the other OT, Hav is aging and some feel is declining. The interior OL could be trending up with Avila and Limmer improvements, but that remains to be seen. This unit overall is likely the same with decline at RT and improvement in the interior.
To be a strong SB contender, they'll need substantial improvement in the offense which will require an injection of talent either through free agency or premium draft picks (#26, #90, and #100). They also need, at minimum, one more major piece on the defense - either CB or ILB.
If they're unwilling to spend money in free agency because they need to save it for up and coming 2nd contracts, I can see a conclusion that the one 1st round pick isn't enough to infuse the offense with sufficient talent and get the big piece the defense needs.