oldnotdead
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- May 16, 2019
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I'm already on record the Rams will offer Dotson $5-$7M/yr on a 4 year deal with the 4th likely to be a void year. They are already looking at extending Shelton pretty much in that same range. This is why I see Noteboom's injury as being crucial in this equation. They can clear enough cap to sign both Dotson and Shelton if Joe is a post June 1 casualty.
That said, the market value for Dotson could be as high as $10/year. Remember it's all about the guaranteed money not the overall value of the contract. As pointed out, Kevin has already seen the razor-thin margin between being a starter and being trade bait. If he's smart he will take the long money and stay here with a good locker room and a scheme that fits his skillset. Less money but bigger guaranteed $$ makes all the difference in the world. Ultimately it will be his decision to make. Dotson knows this team will be a contender for the next few years and he only has to look at Austin Corbett and how he cashed in on the Super Bowl but has since been injury-plagued since. The value of being on a contender is important because now he's got a taste of playoff money over 3 years. Right now it's a tossup with Dotson, and will come down not only to the value of the offer the Rams make but its structure as well.
What is hard to calculate is how Dotson views his career. He's 28 right now so he's looking at one last full 4 year contract. Guys in that situation normally want to maximize their earnings over that final contract. He's made about $5M over his career to date. This last contract is the one that will set him up for after the NFL. You can't fault him for getting what he can when he can.
That's why if he was younger I'd say he would stay. But at his age playing on the OL where injuries are common, I don't expect the Rams to be willing to meet his expectations. Austin Corbett is a good example of how short an NFL career could be. Corbett was a lot younger but now his long-term prospects aren't good coming off of 2 injury-plagued years.
It's why realistically I'm expecting a change at RG with McClendon the likely starter in 2024. IMO the only real question is what the Rams will do at RT. $14.7M is a lot of money to pay a guy that couldn't hold up in the playoffs. It makes the 2021 season look more like an aberration than the rule. I've said it for years. The book on Havenstein is his slow feet are a liability in trying to stop a fast edge aligned in a wide 9. That's why I think the two candidates for the post-June 1 transaction are Havenstein and Noteboom combined would clear about $21M which would probably be the value of the entire OL this year.
It's what IMO McVay meant with his comment about continuity. It's one thing to have a change at one position, but two on the same side is a big deal. IMO if they are going to overpay Dotson or Havenstein, Dotson is younger and gives them a few more years of contract value.
That said, the market value for Dotson could be as high as $10/year. Remember it's all about the guaranteed money not the overall value of the contract. As pointed out, Kevin has already seen the razor-thin margin between being a starter and being trade bait. If he's smart he will take the long money and stay here with a good locker room and a scheme that fits his skillset. Less money but bigger guaranteed $$ makes all the difference in the world. Ultimately it will be his decision to make. Dotson knows this team will be a contender for the next few years and he only has to look at Austin Corbett and how he cashed in on the Super Bowl but has since been injury-plagued since. The value of being on a contender is important because now he's got a taste of playoff money over 3 years. Right now it's a tossup with Dotson, and will come down not only to the value of the offer the Rams make but its structure as well.
What is hard to calculate is how Dotson views his career. He's 28 right now so he's looking at one last full 4 year contract. Guys in that situation normally want to maximize their earnings over that final contract. He's made about $5M over his career to date. This last contract is the one that will set him up for after the NFL. You can't fault him for getting what he can when he can.
That's why if he was younger I'd say he would stay. But at his age playing on the OL where injuries are common, I don't expect the Rams to be willing to meet his expectations. Austin Corbett is a good example of how short an NFL career could be. Corbett was a lot younger but now his long-term prospects aren't good coming off of 2 injury-plagued years.
It's why realistically I'm expecting a change at RG with McClendon the likely starter in 2024. IMO the only real question is what the Rams will do at RT. $14.7M is a lot of money to pay a guy that couldn't hold up in the playoffs. It makes the 2021 season look more like an aberration than the rule. I've said it for years. The book on Havenstein is his slow feet are a liability in trying to stop a fast edge aligned in a wide 9. That's why I think the two candidates for the post-June 1 transaction are Havenstein and Noteboom combined would clear about $21M which would probably be the value of the entire OL this year.
It's what IMO McVay meant with his comment about continuity. It's one thing to have a change at one position, but two on the same side is a big deal. IMO if they are going to overpay Dotson or Havenstein, Dotson is younger and gives them a few more years of contract value.
