Its coming, to a point. Up here in Humboldt,Trinity, Mendocino we have a lot of log truck drivers. No computer driven big rig is driving down a 40 mile long one lane dirt road and backing down into a canyon with a foot deep lose dirt, get a load of logs that require a D8 CAT to pull them out and get them going.
Those are MEN ! Dangerous job, my nephew rolled 200' down a mountain, compound leg fracture . Had to get a ride on a helicopter with compound leg fracture.
Only thing that saved them from a 150' straight drop was a single old tree snag.
Turns are tight and if your trailer starts to go, you go. You have to CB radio up ahead to make sure no heads on,s in the corner.
Not sure where you stand on this but we all need wood. From your toilet paper, home, newspaper and mail and more.
I maintain all the sawmill equipment that brings civilization this and no machine is doing my job, ever.
I am the machine.
I like Musk and hate him at the same time.
Go Rams. I think its going to be a beat down.
Machines won't do every job, but they will do MOST. And many jobs are jobs people don't think of... many medical specialties... Ask any med school how many people are going into Radiology... it's either being shipped overseas to India where Radiologists do the job much cheaper while AI is developing algorithms to detect cancers and other disease WAY before the human eye could possibly detect it. And robot surgery is coming and will be significantly better in nearly all cases than humans. As it is, many delicate surgeries are already accomplished using a human guided robot
Law? so much basic lawyer and paralegal stuff can be automated.
Low and mid-level management jobs... HR functions... etc.
As for paper products, I'd rather use sustainable things like wood products than plastic for most things if given the chance. If anything, it encourages the further planting of trees and will hopefully open up hemp for not only CBD, but hemp is a wonderful fiber source for everything from clothing to paper products. I know in BJJ, the best GIs are made from hemp fiber. I was even going to get one as I sweat a TON, but I had to stop going.
Anyway, point being is that way more will be automated than most have even contemplated (even places like McDonalds use less than half the staff that they used 30 years ago and with the automated order pads, that number decreases by the day).
The question is will we live the life of Star Trek where people are educated and encouraged to follow their passions or will we live in a dystopia where there are trillionaires and underground subsistence economies? I dunno the answer, tho I have my inclinations.
TL;dr Not all jobs will be automated, but MOST can be automated and will given enough time. The bigger question is (and this is a MUCH harder question for countries like the US and Japan where you are seen as your job/profession/career) will we be able to refocus society on being less work centric? I dunno. There will always be things people CAN do, but even now, we're conflating CAN and NEED. We already have an excess of both local and global labor. That problem is gonna get sorted whether we do anything or not, but seeing as none of us are kids of Gates or Musk, it's not terribly likely to be anything close to Star Trek.
Now... does anyone remember that football video game that used different robots depending on the position?
It was kinda cool, but I prefer human sports. Hopefully, we can keep that for longer than we keep human truck drivers...
