1-3 4-10 11-20 21-28 29-32
Some stats in this matchup...
Margin of Victory:
Rams 1.3 (13th) Ravens 11.4 (3rd)
OFFENSE
Scoring:
Rams 22.3 (13th) Ravens 27.0 (7th)
Passer Rating:
Rams 83.8 (22nd) Ravens 98.8 (6th)
Yards per Rush:
Rams 4.3 (13th) Ravens 4.9 (2nd)
Third Down:
Rams 40.88% (13th) Ravens 43.42% (7th)
Redzone (TD%):
Rams 62.86% (7th) Ravens 64.58% (T-3rd)
DEFENSE
Scoring:
Rams 21.1 (14th) Ravens 15.6 (1st)
Passer Against:
Rams 85.3 (10th) Ravens 72.5 (1st)
Yards per Rush:
Rams 4.2 (14th) Ravens 4.3 (22nd)
Third Down:
Rams 40% (T-19th) Ravens 36.16% (7th)
Redzone (TD%):
Rams 52.79%(15th) Ravens 37.50% (3rd)
Turnover %:
Rams 7.7% (30th) Ravens 11.7% (16th)
Pressure %:
Rams 18.2% (27th) Ravens 20.6% (22nd)
NOTES
Ravens statistically are a Super Bowl level team. Their scoring against is not just good, they are elite on defense. They also are over +10 in margin of victory thanks to a very good offense that is built for balance.
Ravens surprisingly are porous vs the run. Not a big deal though as some teams like that can situationally get it done vs the run when they need to. Not a perfect stat to use ypr (success rate is better) but it's easy to look up.
Ravens are absolutely brutal on QBs. This is notably in spite of a low pressure rate. They do not pressure or hurry opposing QBs well which contributes to their mediocre turnover rate per drive. But when you look at QB bottom line they play like shit vs this defense which I interpret to mean their secondary is lights out.
Defensively the Rams are at risk of being worn down. This risk is due to the Ravens quality on the ground, plus the Rams being a bit short in rotation run stuffers. Rams were gassed vs Cleveland and Baltimore's gonna be much more of a threat to take advantage of that. Also I think they will wear our defense down quicker due to that ground game quality.
The Rams offensively offer some risk for the Ravens. Their run game is much better than the stats show, first off, as those numbers reflect earlier season games with Henderson's carries in the total. Williams is as good as it gets in terms of that ground threat this year. Also I think the Rams might be able to sustain drives and if they can get into the redzone are good enough to put some points on the board vs this Ravens defense.
Way I see this one is the Ravens will gradually pull away based on the fact the Rams won't be able to sustain drives as well as them. So the best thing the Rams can do in this game is get a lead on them early to try to limit their ground threat. But it's hard to see a path to a win for us in this game. Ravens are coming off a bye and have a fine staff who will be honed in. If we do get this win it will require an inspired gameplan on both sides of the ball and a full team effort. Also this one puts a lot on Stafford's shoulders. I think this is the toughest matchup on our season sched.
