I think Atwell will have a good season. I see him as having good production over the remaining two years of his contract. But I doubt he is extended after 2024. He's limited in how he's used. That is his big problem. Once again he was tried out as a returner but apparently didn't impress. Xavier Smith is the same height with similar speed and IMO he will be the return specialist this year. Smith is also a decent receiver. I think Smith makes the roster and gets an extension as a returner.
Therein lies the real problem with Tutu. Unless Atwell absolutely becomes a phenom this year he will fall back to #4 by November IMO. This offense is getting bigger. Nacua can run jet sweeps, he can block, and provides Stafford with a big target, i.e. greater play radius. Case in point, Nacua can run a jet sweep motion and then be a lead blocker on an outside run with the RB. He did exactly that in college. With Tutu, it's either a handoff to him or it's a diversion. Smith can be a diversion or receiver and probably not a blocker, but he does return punts and offers the same speed as Atwell.
In other words, what does Tutu bring that others don't? And those "others" can be used in more ways. In the right offense, Atwell could be a star. But he's looking less and less like a fit for the way McVay's offense is evolving and that is Tutu's problem. Tutu can play and be productive in the right offense. But he's less likely as a scheme fit now than before.
