PrometheusFaulk
Starter
- Joined
- May 25, 2013
- Messages
- 618
That risk depends only on the type of player.
Based on production only, who is the greater risk Andre Johnson or Kenny Britt/Austin Pettis/Brian Quick?
Age is a number, players decline differently. For WR, tho there have been a number of WRs that played well into their mid 30s: Terrell Owens, Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Randy Moss, Anquan Boldin, Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Rod Smith, etc just to name a few off the top of my head.
I fail to see why anyone would want to pass up an All-Pro like him.
You will never be able to buy Andre's past production. You're only going to get what he is going forward. But whoever pays for his services will likely be paying for his past production.
Check out what age Holt and Moss's numbers fell off a cliff. Bruce did have that one year at 34, but all of his other seasons at 33 and older were spotty. Jennings is 30 now.
Different guys fall apart at different points in their 30s, but it happens to all of them. Can't fight gravity. It's possible Andre could go another couple seasons at his current production level. It's possible he could go the route of Moss and Holt. Like I said, it's a risk. And in order to get return on what he'd probably command, he'd HAVE to produce like he has before to get good return on that.
It's not a risk I'd be comfortable taking, were I in a position to make such a decision as opposed to being a dude on a keyboard. Andre Johnson is going to fall apart someday, and no one is going to be able to predict when. If it's next season, I'd rather not be the team paying his likely costly demands.