Bray Hubbard

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Ferragamo15
No Doubts

Unlike some of the other players we've looked at, there is a firm consensus among the experts about Alabama safety, Bray Hubbard. There isn't much variation in where he's ranked on draft boards. I agree with the consensus. My grade on Hubbard is consistent with other boards. Honestly, I didn't even watch the majority of Hubbard's games. He was so consistent and so impressive in the games that I watched that I turned his tape off. I had seen enough. Plus, he has the entire 2026 to play, so we'll have even more tape to review. I think that Hubbard has the potential to be a very good NFL starter, perhaps even a Pro Bowler. Unless he has some type of medical flag that hurts his stock, there is zero reason for him to slip past Day 2. He's too good.

Hubbard might be one of the easiest and cleanest projections in the draft pool. He has a high floor and is a low-risk draft pick. We can debate whether his ceiling is high or just average and since he doesn't play a premium position [Similar to drafting a RB, is it really worth it to invest a high pick on a safety?] where to take him, but he doesn't have a high bust potential.

Hubbard is a very good fit for our defensive system. He's well worth consideration as a Rams draft target in 2027.
 
Part 1: Background

Name, Age:
Brayson Hubbard. Turns 22 in February of 2027. True senior, Alabama. Studying sport management.

Size, estimated speed: Listed 6'2'' tall, 217 pounds. As a FR in HS, was listed as 6'1 1/2'' tall and 175 pounds, 6'2'' tall and 185 as a JR in HS, then 190 as a HS recruit. Bama listed him at 195 pounds in 2023, 204 pounds in 2024 and 213 pounds in 2025. Draftbuzz 4.60 seconds in 40. Draftscout 6'2 1/8'' tall, 217 pounds, 4.54 seconds in 40.

3-star to 4-star recruit from Mississippi. He was a dual-threat QB in HS, recruited to play safety. As a FR in HS, initially committed to Southern Mississippi to play baseball. Primarily was an outfielder, filled in some as shortstop and catcher. Mother died from breast cancer when he was 12 years old. His dad was the athletic director for his HS. Has 2 older siblings.

Very early in his HS career was dubbed the next John Rhys Plumlee. JRP was a very athletic running QB who also played baseball in college. Was a 3-year starter at QB for the football team, compiling video game stats. More of a runner than a passer, he had 55 career passing TDs against only 10 INTs, averaged 8.4 yards per carry and 135.4 rushing YPG as a SR. Had over 9,300 total yards from scrimmage in his career, 107 total TDs passing and rushing and added 3 INTs as a DB on defense his SR season. Career 65.4% completion rate as QB. Laser timed 4.55 seconds in the 40 when he was a JR in HS.

Was a ST player in 2023. Had limited playing time as a backup until Keon Sabb suffered a season-ending injury in 2024, opening the door for him to start the final 6 games of the season. Limited in spring 2026 practices due to undisclosed injuries in 2025 that HC described as "stuff from the fall". There's a picture of him in HS in 2022 with his right arm in a sling, but I was unable to find any info about the injury.

2023 (9 games): 1 tackle
2024 (13 games, 6 starts): 57 tackles (35 solo), 1 TFL, 5 PD, 3 INTs, FF
2025 (15 starts): 79 tackles (50 solo), 4.5 TFLs, 2 sacks, 10 PD, 4 INTs, 3 FF

Draftscout 1st to 2nd round
Travis May mock 1st round, 31
Shane Hallam mock draft 47
PFF big board 48. PFF grades of 89.2 and 84.6 last 2 seasons
DraftBuzz late 2nd round projection, 54, a zone slot or nickel safety. Kitan Oladapo comp.
PFSN sim 55, 5th safety
Drafttek 57
Ian Cummings mock 2nd round, 58
NFLMDD sim 80, 6th safety
Sam Teets board: Late 3rd to 4th round tier, 88
NFLdraftHQ mock not selected in first 3 rounds
 
Sorry, I forgot to include some of the expert evaluations. It's been a long day.

Draftbuzz; Excellent run defense, ball hawk, zone coverage, physical. (-) Below average speed, limited deep range vs vertical routes, better in zone than man, missed 9 tackles.
Brian Bosarge: 4.42 to 4.50 seconds in 40. 4.08 to 4.21 seconds in shuttle. 6.84 to 6.98 seconds in 3-cone. (+) Prototypical NFL size for modern safety. Ballhawk with outstanding vision to bait QBs. Former QB who reads routes and eliminates throwing lanes before they develop. Physical open field tackler. (-) Transitions and hip fluidity vs vertical routes. Aggressive eyes can be manipulated by play action or double moves.

Part 2: Strengths

When he stepped in as an injury-replacement starter in 2024, he played like a veteran who had already been a multi-year starter. Extremely surprising for a player who had never started and had received very limited playing time on defense prior to that point. He obviously didn't know that Sabb was going to get hurt, but when the opportunity presented itself, he grabbed the bull by the horns. I think it speaks to his work ethic and football character that he had prepared himself even though at that point in his career he was still a backup. Well-schooled in a pro-style defensive scheme. Used in variety of alignments, single high and split-field deep safety, in the slot or the box, used on run and pass blitzes. Some of the coverage rotations required him to run outside to replace the CB. Combination coverages where half the field was different from the other half. Good pre-snap communication with other defenders. He's like having a coach on the field. I think Hubbard has a chance at being a Day 1 starter in the NFL as a rookie.

Don't watch his highlights, watch the plays where "nothing" happens. Some of those plays impressed me more than the ones where he makes a play on the ball or the RB. Very polished and consistent with his footwork, hips, angle of his drops and positioning. If you just look at the route concept, the spacing and ask yourself where the S should be positioned, the depth, the body posture, etc, Hubbard is often perfectly in the correct spot, in phase with the route development. Hubbard is so precise with his fundamentals it is poetry in motion, a beautiful thing if you are a football purist. His tape was some of the most enjoyable to watch out of any of the players I've studied for 2027.

If it is a route combination where he has to respect the deep route but still switch down to help defend the intermediate route, his timing is precise to the millisecond. He stays deep enough to not get pulled out of position in case the QB is trying to bait him forward but immediately closes to the new threat when the QB has committed to the shorter target. Strong ability to multitask in zone, effectively juggling 2 different routes almost simultaneously.

As single-high safety, very good anticipation of throw vs intermediate route had him start to close gap before the QB even began to wind-up to throw. Against intermediate dig route, he's moving towards the receiver before the ball is out of the QB's hand. There's a triangle of defenders and he really should be the last of the 3 to get to the WR but since his anticipation is the best, he arrives simultaneously with the other safety. His effective range in zone is so much better than most DBs. When experts talk about him being a former QB and being able to read the play like a QB, that's exactly right, he can "play a game of chess" with the opposing QB at a level well beyond a normal safety prospect.

Elite awareness in zone coverage. Great eye balance scanning between the QB and all the potential receiving threats. Knows when to gain more depth, doesn't get caught out and let WRs get behind him. Wasn't fooled by double pass trick play, perfect positioning for critical 4th quarter INT. His instincts help to squeeze shut zone voids, discouraging the QB from testing his area of the zone. Against switch releases, he doesn't take false steps, he has calm and patient feet carrying the correct route downfield.

Offense designed a very tricky tunnel screen dressed up like a bubble screen to the same side, trying to pull defenders wide then throw it to a different WR to run towards the middle of the field. Hubbard reads it perfectly, he's not fooled, his eyes look at both the WRs and back towards the QB/OL and he diagnoses what the offense is trying to do. The screen pass tips off the fingers of the WR and because Hubbard is in a good position he nearly gets an INT on the deflection. I thought this "non-INT" was more impressive than the actual INTs he's had in his career. If he continues to make plays like that, the ball "will find him" and he'll continue to generate turnovers. Fans might think it is a lucky bounce, but it isn't luck. He's not standing there by accident; he got there because he was smart enough not to get tricked and moved out of position.

Pre-snap motion paired with outside zone play action. Hubbard isn't fooled, he knows what's up, he's all over the RB trying to sneak out into the flat after the play action, assignment sound.

His "football speed" is much better than his Combine 40 timed speed, because his anticipation and football IQ gives him a head start much earlier than most DBs move. He's multiple steps ahead of the action, closing down space so that he can make the tackle immediately after catches or jumping into passing lanes to contest the catch point. His range in pass coverage from single-high going sideline-to-sideline is much better than you'd think given his speed, because he has a running head start before the ball has left the QB's hand. He's a perfect example of how a 4.6 second S moving in the right direction is way better than a 4.4 second safety who habitually takes 2 steps in the wrong direction.

Great ball skills. Quick twitch leaper. Dug out low pass for an INT. If he hadn't chosen football, he might be playing college baseball as an outfielder right now.

Mature, yet aggressive in downhill run support. He quickly closes down the space to attack the LOS but arrives under control and patient. Has very good short area athleticism against the run. Breaks down well to prepare his tackle attempts and to adjust laterally to the runner.

Textbook tackler. Heavy thumper in the box, square and strong wrap-up tackles. Helmet up form tackle resulted in fumble where his helmet hit the ball. Heavy hitter at full speed, a heat seeking missile. Repeatedly came to the rescue of the defense with outstanding open field tackles in space vs RBs. Fantastic downhill attack vs gap run, slammed into pulling LT at the LOS to create roadblock right in the designated hole, constricting the opening for the RB. Good 1 vs 1 tackler in the hole vs RBs.

Maintains leverage vs the ball. Takes smart angles in run support and in downfield pursuit.

Timing and speed as blitzer, maintains disguise of blitz. Short area agility to finish sacks if the QB tries to evade.

Surprisingly physical and aggressive for his size. Not afraid of OTs. Not soft or timid. Physical vs bigger TEs when used as slot defender. Sets the edge more like a LB, stacking TEs at the POA with power and shedding them to tackle the RB. Physical jams. Destroyed WR block, then stuffed the RB.

Solid blend of functional athleticism and size. Average height. Excellent balance in pedal and fluid hips to swivel as he gains depth. Agility and hand usage to avoid rubs. Short area burst to close down speed out.

In interviews he's team-oriented and grounded but also very self-confident with NFL aspirations.
 
Part 3: Weaknesses

Doesn't have ideal NFL size. Average length and height, below average body mass and muscle. Doesn't have long arms. Lack of elite length repeatedly shows up in both pass and run defense. He has small hands and lacks grip power on tackles. Doesn't have good lower body strength and power to anchor. Has a sawed-off, smallish frame. Isn't thickly built and muscular. While he might be listed at 6'2'' tall, he plays more like he's about 5'11'' tall, like he's the "little brother" trying to fight his big brother. He doesn't have the physical or athletic tools you normally would associate with an early round safety. The physical package is more like a 5th round player. DraftBuzz compared him to Kitan Oladapo. I liked Oladapo, I thought he was a good prospect. If I remember right, some experts had him as a darkhorse to be a 3rd round pick. He was a 5th round pick and is a backup player. If Hubbard is about the same as Oladapo, then shouldn't Hubbard be a 5th round prospect?

Overwhelmed by superior size and strength. Can get bullied by combo blocks at 2nd level by bigger opponents. Got destroyed by a TE on GL run, driven 5 yards back into the end zone.

Pass glanced off his fingertips, not quite tall and long enough to get deflection. On blitz, the QB can throw the ball over or around him, because he doesn't have a huge wingspan.

Average long speed for long pursuits. Elite NFL speed will burn his pursuit angle and win races to the corner. Lack of speed could contribute to giving up long TDs, arriving a step late to make the play. Average range in run defense pursuing to the sideline from single-high safety position.

Feet were sluggish vs deep post, can get exposed and left in dust at top of the route by fast WRs.

Some tackles, he barely hangs on, his average length and drag-down power stretched like a rubber band, almost getting his tackle broken. Maybe because his hands are relatively small, can miss attempts to grab the leg of the RB.

I think he's going to get trucked by NFL RBs with elite size and power.

Got fooled by a couple very tricky misdirection plays, late to find ball. Fooled as deep safety vs post, resulting in him being out of position, then slipping and falling, surrendering huge gain.

I don't know how he's supposed to cover a 6'6'' tall and 250-pound TE in man coverage. Maybe he can win some of the time, but other plays he's going to be overmatched, whether because they are just too strong or too tall for him to handle. He's a good zone safety but if you put him on a team that wanted to play mostly man coverage his value could really decline and they might need to trade him or change his role.

Durability questions. He seemed to lose some of his explosiveness and strength by the end of last season, likely beat up with some injuries. He had a bunch of rushing attempts in HS. His physical play style with a smaller frame could result in injury issues and a shorter NFL career.
 
Part 4: Draft Grade and Pro Comp

Second round grade. Kamren Curl (7th round 2020, Washington Commodes).

If Hubbard had better length and a better frame, my NFL comp for him would have been Harrison Smith, the legendary Minnesota Vikings safety. Some of his traits are very similar to Smith's strengths. I think that Hubbard can be a good NFL starter, but I question whether he has the necessary physical tools to ever become an elite NFL defender. This is the only reason I didn't give him a 1st round grade. In a nutshell, I just don't think he's big or fast enough, so I'm not projecting him to be an All-Pro guy who ends up in the Hall of Fame someday. Still, I really like this prospect and if we ignore position value, he's probably one of the best pure football players in the entire draft pool.

Hubbard has excellent football IQ and outstanding textbook fundamentals. He is a potential impact rookie and could prove to be a huge financial bargain over the course of his 4-year rookie contract. The Browns drafted a safety near the bottom of the 2nd round in 2026. His average salary is just under $2.1 million, with a total contract value of $8.3 million. Curl's contract with the Rams pays him an average salary of $12 million. So, the gap between Curl's cost and the rookie for the Browns is almost $10 million per season.

Keep an eye on this player. If his draft stock doesn't change much during the 2026 season, he could be in play almost perfectly aligned with the range where the Rams could be drafting at the very bottom of the 2nd round. In 2024, the Bills drafted Cole Bishop at slot 60. I think that Hubbard is a better prospect than Bishop. So, I think the value could be pretty good if Hubbard is still on the board.