This one was a hard take. I went to bed so angry last night that I'm worried this might come across as overly pessimistic. But after sitting with it, I keep coming back to the same conclusion: this team has too much talent to keep making the same mistakes, and at some point, the coaching staff has to own that.
Here are my 10 observations.
1. The Rams can't get out of their own way
Until McVay cleans up the in-house issues, I don't think much is going to change.
Eleven penalties for 84 yards in a home game is inexcusable. The Bills were even sloppier, committing 13 penalties for 112 yards. That's a combined 24 flags and 196 penalty yards. We're talking about more than the length of a football field in penalties alone.
And this wasn't just a case of the officials calling a tight game. The Rams had multiple pre-snap mistakes, missed opportunities to finish drives, and special-teams failures that ultimately helped cost them the game.
The Bills gave the Rams plenty of opportunities to take control. The Rams simply didn't capitalize on enough of them.
I also saw a claim circulating that the Rams became the first team in NFL history to score five touchdowns, record two takeaways, gain more than 400 yards, avoid turnovers, convert at least 50% of third downs and record 30-plus first downs while still losing. The larger point doesn't need it: the Rams produced a strong offensive performance and still found a way to lose.
Stafford threw for 383 yards and three touchdowns. Puka Nacua caught 17 passes for 138 yards and a touchdown. Davante Adams caught two touchdown passes. The offense put 34 points on the board.
And they still lost.
At some point, the question has to be asked: how much of this is bad luck, and how much of it is a team that consistently makes its own life harder?
Way to go, Coach.
2. Situational football — does anyone think these things through?
I touched on this last week, and the Bills game only reinforced my concerns about situational awareness, decision-making and whether the coaching staff is consistently thinking through the consequences of its decisions.
Let's start with two-point conversions.
The Rams haven't converted one since January 7, 2024, when Carson Wentz was filling in for Stafford late in the season. The Bills game added another failed attempt to the list.
This has become a ridiculous drought.
Which brings me to the decision to go for two against Buffalo.
The Rams took a 20–19 lead on Stafford's touchdown pass to Nacua and went for two. Stafford was sacked by T.J. Sanders, and the attempt failed. Buffalo then answered with a touchdown and successfully converted its own two-point attempt to take a 27–20 lead.
I'm not saying the decision to go for two was automatically wrong. Analytics, the score, the time remaining and the game situation all matter. But when your offense has repeatedly failed to execute two-point plays, and your defense is struggling to get stops in high-leverage situations, the decision deserves scrutiny.
The distinction matters: failing to convert is an offensive execution problem. Allowing the opponent to convert is a defensive execution problem. The Rams are struggling with both.
And this isn't isolated to Buffalo. Denver's successful two-point conversions also played a significant role in that 30–26 loss.
Situational football is not some obscure coaching concept. It's the difference between winning and losing close games. Clock management, conversion packages, red-zone defense and end-of-game decision-making are all things that should be drilled relentlessly.
The Rams have too many examples of these moments going the wrong way.
Through five games, the Rams have allowed 46 points in the first half and 71 in the second half, excluding overtime. That's an average of 9.2 points allowed before halftime and 14.2 after it.
The Broncos game is an obvious outlier, but Buffalo's second-half production is another warning sign. The Rams allowed 21 points after halftime in regulation against the Bills, then gave up the decisive field goal in overtime.
Halftime adjustments are a real thing. Opponents make changes, identify weaknesses and attack them. The Rams need to respond better.
I'm not ready to say Shula cannot be a defensive coordinator, but the game-planning and situational execution need to improve. If the same problems keep appearing, McVay has to evaluate whether the current defensive structure and coaching staff are getting the most out of this roster.
Loyalty is admirable. Blind loyalty is expensive.
3. What's going on with Quentin Lake?
I'm having a hard time reconciling what I'm seeing from Quentin Lake with what the advanced numbers say.
On the field, there have been moments when he looks lost. His angles, tackling decisions and apparent confusion about assignments have been frustrating to watch. I expected him to be a reliable leader in a secondary that was supposed to be one of the strengths of this defense.
Instead, I keep seeing plays where he looks a step behind.
Against Denver, his mistimed jump in the end zone contributed to a touchdown. Against Buffalo, there were more concerning moments, including the late-game collision with Jaylen Watson on a goal-line play. That collision ended with Watson needing assistance from the trainers. I wouldn't automatically assign that entire play to Lake without reviewing the coverage responsibility, but the communication and execution clearly weren't where they needed to be.
And then there's the run support.
Lake has had moments where his angles look flat, his feet stop moving, and he seems unable to close space efficiently. In the NFL, a safety who takes a bad angle can turn an otherwise manageable play into an explosive gain.
Here's the interesting part: the numbers don't completely agree with my eyes. PFF had Lake at a 90.0 overall defensive grade, second among safeties, in its profile updated before the Bills game. His coverage grade had also been exceptionally high.
That doesn't mean the film concerns are invalid. It means the question is more complicated than simply saying he's been statistically terrible. A strong overall grade can coexist with a few glaring mistakes, especially when those mistakes happen in high-leverage situations.
So what is the explanation?
Is he dealing with an injury? Is the secondary struggling with communication after personnel changes? Is he being asked to handle responsibilities that aren't suited to his strengths? Or am I putting too much weight on a handful of highly visible mistakes?
I don't know yet. But the Rams need to figure it out. If Lake is supposed to be one of the defensive leaders, the communication and execution need to match that responsibility.
4. Tackling — what a fucking mess
The missed tackles and failed sack opportunities against Buffalo were infuriating.
I counted at least four instances where a Rams defensive tackle or linebacker got hands on Josh Allen but couldn't finish the play. Allen is one of the most difficult quarterbacks in football to bring down, so I'm not pretending this is an easy assignment. But there's a difference between being beaten by an elite athlete and repeatedly failing to finish a play when you have him wrapped up.
Allen finished with 121 rushing yards on 10 carries and a rushing touchdown. James Cook added another 111 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries. That's 232 rushing yards between two players.
You can't expect to win many games when a quarterback and running back combine for that kind of production.
And this isn't just about Allen. We've seen other quarterbacks like Winston, Bo Nix and Brock Purdy escape pressure and extend plays against this defense, too. The issue has been recurring: get close to the quarterback, lose the angle, fail to finish, and watch a manageable down turn into a first down or missed sack opportunity.
There were a few bright spots. Nate Landman forced Cook's fumble in overtime, Aaron Donald recovered it, and the Rams had opportunities to make game-changing plays. Trent McDuffie, Omar Speights and Jaylen Watson also had moments worth recognizing.
But the open-field angles are still a concern. Landman, Lake, Curl and others have had plays where they appear to approach the ball carrier at the wrong angle or fail to close space properly.
I woke up my one-year-old son yelling at the TV last night. My wife wasn't thrilled, and honestly, I can't blame her. Watching Lake get caught flat-footed on an open-field tackle was enough to make me question whether anyone was teaching basic tackling technique.
This is football 101. Break down, keep leverage, take the proper angle, wrap up and finish the play.
The Rams have the athletic talent. The fundamentals have to improve.
5. Defensive game-planning — what the hell did I just watch?
Here we are again, talking about the defensive game plan.
How do you approach a quarterback like Josh Allen? You have to respect his arm, but you also have to account for his legs. If you rush recklessly, open escape lanes and leave defenders in man coverage with their backs turned, you're inviting him to hurt you with his feet.
Allen ran for 121 yards against the Rams, he averaged 12.1 yards per carry. That's absurd production for a quarterback.
I kept wondering why the Rams didn't do more to contain him. Why not use a spy in the right situations? Why not have the edge rushers prioritize keeping him in the pocket instead of chasing sacks? Why not make him beat you with patient, sustained passing rather than allowing him to turn broken plays into explosive runs?
Of course, a spy isn't a magic solution. It takes a defender out of coverage, and Allen can still beat you with his arm. But the defensive plan needs to account for the quarterback's greatest strength.
I think back to the Jeff Fisher era, when the Rams frequently faced mobile quarterbacks like Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray. The approach was often to maintain rush-lane integrity, set the edge and generate pressure from the interior. It wasn't always successful, but the underlying principle was sound: don't give the quarterback a free runway.
The current defense has too often looked unprepared for the scramble threat.
6. Defensive line — are teams figuring out how to run on us?
The Bills' offensive line bullied the Rams' front for stretches in the second half. James Cook ran for 111 yards and two touchdowns, and Allen added 121 yards of his own.
The Rams have invested heavily in this defensive front. On paper, the combination of Aaron Donald, Myles Garrett (injured), Kobie Turner, Braden Fiske, Poona Ford and the rest of the rotation should be capable of creating havoc.
But talent and production are two different things.
Is the dline too small? I looked into the defensive-line size question, and I couldn't find a reliable, standardized NFL ranking for weight by teams Dline but I did find they are around middle of the pack. The official roster lists several interior linemen around or above 300 pounds, while the edge group is lighter and built more around explosiveness.
So I don't think the argument should be that the Rams are simply too small. The bigger question is why the front isn't consistently controlling the line of scrimmage.
Are defensive tackles getting displaced by double teams? Are linebackers shooting the wrong gaps? Are the edge defenders losing contain? Is the defense asking its interior players to penetrate when it needs them to occupy blockers? Are opponents using motion and formations to create favorable angles?
Those are different problems, and they require different solutions.
The 49ers showed in Week 1 that the Rams could be vulnerable on the ground. Buffalo then exploited the run game again. Until the Rams prove they can consistently control the line of scrimmage, opposing offenses will keep testing them.
I don't know whether this is primarily a personnel problem or an X's-and-O's problem. But the film needs to tell us, and the coaching staff needs to make the necessary adjustments.
7. Special teams — kicker, protection and coverage units
As I'm writing this, the Rams have moved on from Harrison Mevis and are bringing in Blake Grupe.
What a strange turn of events.
Mevis was solid in 2025, converting 12 of 13 field-goal attempts (92.3%) and all 39 extra points. That gave everyone reason to feel good about the position heading into 2026.
Then things fell apart.
Through five games this season, Mevis converted just 5 of 9 field goals (55.6%), while still making all 14 extra points. Against Buffalo, he missed a 50-yard attempt and had a potential game-winning 48-yard field goal blocked in overtime.
Those are costly misses, particularly for a team that lost by three points.
But I have to ask: is this just a kicker problem? Is it the coaching? Is the protection scheme failing? Are the Rams putting too much pressure on their special-teams operation without giving it the personnel and consistency it needs?
Sean McVay deserves scrutiny here. The kicker is the most visible part of the problem, but special teams are an entire unit. Snap, hold, protection, operation time, blocking assignments and the kick itself all matter.
The blocked field goal against Buffalo needs to be reviewed carefully. If the protection unit failed to account for an overload, that's not something you can pin entirely on the kicker. The specific assignment breakdown matters, and the coaches need to own it.
The same goes for the coverage units. The Bills had a 70-yard-plus kickoff return to start the game, immediately putting the Rams in a hole. The coverage improved afterward, but that doesn't erase the initial breakdown.
I also keep coming back to the roster-building question: is the "F them picks" philosophy creating a hidden cost on special teams? The Rams have often traded day-three draft capital for established players. Meanwhile, special teams depend heavily on depth players, young draft picks and undrafted free agents.
That's a legitimate question, not a conclusion. Trading late picks can be the right decision, but if you're constantly filling depth roles with replacement-level players, you may eventually pay for it in the third phase.
The Rams need a more reliable plan for special teams. This has been an ongoing problem, and changing kickers alone won't solve it.
8. Stafford, Puka, Adams and the offense deserve credit
Credit where it's due: the offense played well enough to win this game.
Stafford completed 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards and three touchdowns. Nacua caught 17 passes for 138 yards and a touchdown. Adams caught two touchdown passes, and Blake Corum and Kyren Williams contributed rushing touchdowns.
The offense started slowly but finished strong. The Rams scored 20 points in the fourth quarter and tied the game with five seconds remaining when Williams scored from the one-yard line.
That's a hell of a response.
Stafford was decisive, Nacua was a target monster, and Adams delivered in the red zone. The offense did its job well enough to give the team a chance.
There were still mistakes and missed opportunities, but this isn't the unit I'm most concerned about after the Buffalo game.
The frustrating part is that the Rams got a strong performance from their quarterback and top playmakers and still lost because of failures elsewhere. A blocked field goal in overtime, missed tackles, an inability to contain Allen and special-teams breakdowns all contributed.
The offense can't be expected to play perfectly every week to cover for everyone else.
9. It's a long season — but the margin for error is shrinking
The Rams are 2–3. Nothing is written in stone, and they still control their own path forward. But the margin for error is getting smaller.
The 49ers are off to a strong start, and the Rams have already lost to them once. If Los Angeles wants to compete for the division, it needs to start winning games against quality opponents rather than hoping the teams ahead of it stumble.
There are still plenty of games left, including divisional matchups that can change the standings quickly. A strong stretch could put the Rams back in the conversation. A few more losses like Denver and Buffalo, however, would make the path much harder.
The key is consistency. The Rams don't need to become a completely different team overnight. They need to stop giving away possessions, finish tackles, protect the kicker, improve the run defense and execute in high-leverage situations.
Those are fixable problems. But they have to be fixed now.
I wouldn't declare the season over after five games. I would say the Rams have used up much of the patience that comes with preseason expectations.
10. The Rams' future — what happens if this team misses the playoffs?
Here's the question I keep coming back to.
Hypothetically, say the Rams stay relatively healthy for the rest of the season, Garrett returns to full strength, and the roster performs close to its potential. They finish 9–8 or 10–7 but miss the playoffs.
What happens then?
Does McVay stay? Does he make wholesale changes to the coaching staff? Does he re-evaluate the defensive leadership? Or does the organization decide that the current approach has run its course?
My take is that if this roster stays healthy and still misses the playoffs, major changes should be on the table.
I'm not saying McVay should automatically be fired. He's a proven head coach, a Super Bowl champion and one of the most accomplished offensive minds in football. But that résumé doesn't make him immune from criticism.
McSnead has assembled a roster with serious talent. Stafford, Nacua, Adams, Garrett, Donald and the rest of the group give the Rams enough high-end players to compete with anyone. The expectation should be that this team plays disciplined, complementary football.
Instead, we're seeing a team that lacks consistency, struggles to finish games and repeatedly makes mistakes that a contender cannot afford.
Maybe McVay's offensive tendencies have become too predictable. Maybe the defensive staff hasn't developed into what the organization expected. Maybe special teams have been neglected in the pursuit of upgrades elsewhere. Maybe the problem is a combination of all three.
Whatever the answer, the organization needs to be honest about it.
I don't expect everyone to agree with this take. But McVay has had multiple seasons since the Super Bowl win to get this team back to that level. Owners and fans eventually expect results, not just explanations.
The Rams have the talent. The question is whether the coaching staff can turn that talent into a complete football team.
Right now, it's not that.