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- May 10, 2014
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- Kyle
So I was thinking about QB's in the league today and their experience and production and had some interesting realizations about when QB's really start to product decent numbers.
Sam Bradford Stats - NFL.com
Although it might seem like 100 years ago when Bradford was drafted, it was only four years ago. So Bradford has four seasons (incomplete at that) under his belt, let's compare that to some other QB's that are in the league right now:
-Aaron Rodgers - Didn't really become a starter til his fourth season, set the league on fire after that.
-Matt Stafford - Limited games first two seasons, broke out in year 3.
-Andy Dalton - Three years of experience, played every game, average stats.
-Drew Brees - Didn't really do much til his fourth year.
-Matt Ryan - Nothing special til his third year.
-Jay Cutler - Not really anything special. Third year was ok, been very up and down since.
-Ben Roethlisberger - Nothing special til his fourth year.
-Phil Rivers - Nothing great til year 3, then average at that.
-Colin Kaepernick - Not full starter til year 3, had an ok year 3, nothing too special.
-Russell Wilson - Pretty good from the start, only one here that had some pretty decent numbers right away.
-Cam Newton - Ok in year three, nothing particularly great before that.
-Andrew Luck - Similar to Russell Wilson, kind of an exception, except year one wasn't the best, lots of picks.
So what I'm seeing after looking at some basic stats (TD:INT ratio, as I feel that is a quick way to get an idea of a performance) is that a lot of QB's seem to bloom in year 3 or 4 or later. This has also been the case for Bradford, although he had trouble in 2013 with his freak injury. Had he not been injured this past year, he would have supported this trend among many other QB's.
I really do think we have a great QB in Bradford. Considering what he has had to overcome that many of these other QB's haven't is very impressive. Perhaps I'm just being a homer but I think Bradford has overcome adversity and team issues significantly better than others on the list above. Going off that, I feel he has had to deal with a lot more issues than other QB's up there (e.g. Russell Wilson).
Anyway, I think we got a future star in our hands here after looking at this info and comparing Bradford to others. The only concern I could see is injuries, and we'll find out a lot about that this coming year. If he becomes another Jay Cutler (as he has been the last 3 years or so) and can't play a whole season, then that is a big problem and we will have to figure something else out I believe. But really, I believe Cutler's injury issues arose from his terrible O-Line, and the same could be said for Bradford. Now that that issue is getting cleared up I think it will help with injury problems because he won't be getting hammered every other play.
Feel free to chime in with any thoughts, I just found this interesting so I thought I'd do a write up to share some of my findings. It seems like so many people want to move on from Bradford but I don't think we've even gotten to see what he's fully capable of. I'm really looking forward to watching him play this year.
Sam Bradford Stats - NFL.com
Although it might seem like 100 years ago when Bradford was drafted, it was only four years ago. So Bradford has four seasons (incomplete at that) under his belt, let's compare that to some other QB's that are in the league right now:
-Aaron Rodgers - Didn't really become a starter til his fourth season, set the league on fire after that.
-Matt Stafford - Limited games first two seasons, broke out in year 3.
-Andy Dalton - Three years of experience, played every game, average stats.
-Drew Brees - Didn't really do much til his fourth year.
-Matt Ryan - Nothing special til his third year.
-Jay Cutler - Not really anything special. Third year was ok, been very up and down since.
-Ben Roethlisberger - Nothing special til his fourth year.
-Phil Rivers - Nothing great til year 3, then average at that.
-Colin Kaepernick - Not full starter til year 3, had an ok year 3, nothing too special.
-Russell Wilson - Pretty good from the start, only one here that had some pretty decent numbers right away.
-Cam Newton - Ok in year three, nothing particularly great before that.
-Andrew Luck - Similar to Russell Wilson, kind of an exception, except year one wasn't the best, lots of picks.
So what I'm seeing after looking at some basic stats (TD:INT ratio, as I feel that is a quick way to get an idea of a performance) is that a lot of QB's seem to bloom in year 3 or 4 or later. This has also been the case for Bradford, although he had trouble in 2013 with his freak injury. Had he not been injured this past year, he would have supported this trend among many other QB's.
I really do think we have a great QB in Bradford. Considering what he has had to overcome that many of these other QB's haven't is very impressive. Perhaps I'm just being a homer but I think Bradford has overcome adversity and team issues significantly better than others on the list above. Going off that, I feel he has had to deal with a lot more issues than other QB's up there (e.g. Russell Wilson).
Anyway, I think we got a future star in our hands here after looking at this info and comparing Bradford to others. The only concern I could see is injuries, and we'll find out a lot about that this coming year. If he becomes another Jay Cutler (as he has been the last 3 years or so) and can't play a whole season, then that is a big problem and we will have to figure something else out I believe. But really, I believe Cutler's injury issues arose from his terrible O-Line, and the same could be said for Bradford. Now that that issue is getting cleared up I think it will help with injury problems because he won't be getting hammered every other play.
Feel free to chime in with any thoughts, I just found this interesting so I thought I'd do a write up to share some of my findings. It seems like so many people want to move on from Bradford but I don't think we've even gotten to see what he's fully capable of. I'm really looking forward to watching him play this year.