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- Jul 31, 2010
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- max
Since 1998, the average turnover rate for playoff teams is 6.14. Five to eight teams that made the playoffs one year won't make it the next. Since 1996, no fewer than five teams a season have failed to repeat.
So history says only 5 to 7 teams will repeat.
My guess is that most people think that the following 2012 playoff teams will make the playoffs this year.
Pats
Broncos
Texans
CIncy
Colts
Packers
SF
Seattle
Atlanta
That's 9 teams. That's at least 2 teams too many. And it's likely 3 teams too many.
It is interesting that the media gets stuck putting the same teams in the playoff every year. I guess recent impressions die hard.